Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.003919 0.004113 0.004312 0.004532 0.004768 0.005013 0.005289
2025-10-26 0.003568 0.003854 0.004159 0.004510 0.004904 0.005335 0.005843
2025-11-02 0.003336 0.003673 0.004041 0.004478 0.004984 0.005555 0.006255
2025-11-09 0.003224 0.003605 0.004033 0.004552 0.005170 0.005889 0.006800
2025-11-16 0.003072 0.003478 0.003943 0.004517 0.005217 0.006051 0.007136
2025-11-23 0.002957 0.003386 0.003884 0.004510 0.005289 0.006238 0.007506
2025-11-30 0.002828 0.003268 0.003785 0.004447 0.005283 0.006323 0.007743
2025-12-07 0.002718 0.003167 0.003701 0.004394 0.005285 0.006412 0.007985
2025-12-14 0.002640 0.003101 0.003656 0.004387 0.005340 0.006569 0.008321
2025-12-21 0.002513 0.002970 0.003524 0.004261 0.005234 0.006506 0.008350
2025-12-28 0.002458 0.002926 0.003500 0.004272 0.005307 0.006682 0.008718
2026-01-04 0.002423 0.002905 0.003503 0.004317 0.005424 0.006922 0.009188
2026-01-11 0.002357 0.002843 0.003452 0.004289 0.005443 0.007028 0.009471
2026-01-18 0.002298 0.002788 0.003408 0.004269 0.005470 0.007145 0.009778
2026-01-25 0.002239 0.002731 0.003358 0.004239 0.005481 0.007239 0.010052
2026-02-01 0.002222 0.002729 0.003381 0.004307 0.005634 0.007545 0.010672
2026-02-08 0.002168 0.002675 0.003333 0.004275 0.005639 0.007630 0.010946
2026-02-15 0.002126 0.002637 0.003304 0.004269 0.005681 0.007771 0.011317
2026-02-22 0.002067 0.002574 0.003240 0.004210 0.005642 0.007786 0.011476
2026-03-01 0.002015 0.002519 0.003185 0.004161 0.005617 0.007819 0.011668
2026-03-08 0.001980 0.002486 0.003159 0.004154 0.005653 0.007950 0.012034
2026-03-15 0.001909 0.002402 0.003061 0.004038 0.005518 0.007802 0.011901
2026-03-22 0.001884 0.002381 0.003049 0.004048 0.005577 0.007969 0.012339